Sulpicio Lines is now turning the tables on the sea mishap involving its domestic passenger ship, Princess of the Stars by laying the blame on Pagasa, the national weather bureau and curiously, Del Monte Philippines for its toxic cargo on board. It claims that Pagasa's faulty weather forecasting caused the sea accident.
If there's one common denominator that binds economists, meteorologists and psychics together, it is forecasting. Although the first two rely on empirical evidence and mathematical models, psychics depend on personal "vibrations,"the crystal ball and tarot cards.
Forecasting is always a hit-and-miss scenario. Madam Auring probably predicted Muhammad Ali's win by sheer luck and now rely on cheap gimmicks for publicity. For economists, have you noticed how many times the IMF, World Bank, ADB and other think-tanks revise their economic projections? In fact, I think the weather bureau had more hits than misses compared to economists. (This reminds me of the Prophet of Boom in the nineties, the Harvard-trained Bernardo Villegas who was so optimistic in his projections that he already defied logic). How many times have the weather bureau advised the public to bring umbrellas for an expected rain shower, only to have the blazing sun shine brightly? Lately, one Bicol governor castigated the weather bureau for sounding the alarm of an impending typhoon in his area, which missed it entirely when the typhoon veered towards another direction.
My point is that forecasting techniques in meteorology (and economics) are far from accurate, it's somewhere between science and good, old-fashioned guesswork.
In addition, ships are equipped with weather forecasting equipment as well as satellite weather feeds and the ship's engineers have been trained to deal with weather disturbances to facilitate navigation. Actually, sailing ships need not depend on the national weather bureau, really. They're capable of doing forecasts themselves. The fact that no other shipping vessel sailed that day means that the accident was clearly a result of a judgment mistake by the crew.
Frank/Fengshen was supposed to track the westward route, until it changed its mind and turned northwards and accelerated its destructive force as well, which unfortunately, was the path Sulpicio Lines was taking, on the opposite direction.
And putting the blame on an agri-business company for the toxic chemicals on board is really mind-boggling, claiming that the ship didn't know that the chemicals have high toxic levels. Really, so if a cargo contained chemicals for the manufacture of shabu, Sulpicio wouldn't know? or wouldn't care?
Sulpicio, do the right thing. Claim responsibility for the accident and stop pointing fingers at Pagasa and Del Monte to deflect the heat away from the company. After all, it was clearly a bad judgement call on your part, which unfortunately cost human lives and may bring down the company to bankruptcy.